← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University1.08+4.97vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University1.08+4.06vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.00+3.29vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech-1.43+7.84vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.74-0.86vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.46-1.12vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College1.12-1.17vs Predicted
-
8Washington College0.21+0.43vs Predicted
-
9Hampton University0.81-2.14vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University-0.11-0.74vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy1.17-5.42vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University0.79-4.97vs Predicted
-
13Virginia Tech-1.43-1.16vs Predicted
-
14Washington College0.15-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.97Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
-
6.06Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
-
6.29Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
-
11.84Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
-
4.14Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
-
4.88North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
-
5.83Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
-
8.43Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
-
6.86Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
-
9.26Princeton University-0.110.0%1st Place
-
5.58U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
-
7.03Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
-
11.84Virginia Tech-1.430.0%1st Place
-
8.84Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Green | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 13.0% | 65.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 17.7% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kertatos | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 22.8% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 13.0% | 65.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 18.5% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.