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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.70+2.21vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.41+4.58vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.64+2.88vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.38+2.46vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.59+0.96vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-2.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.50-0.77vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.14+2.11vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.50-2.78vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-4.12vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-3.10vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.54-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71Stanford University3.390.6%1st Place
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4.21University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
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7.58Western Washington University0.410.0%1st Place
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6.88University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Washington0.380.0%1st Place
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6.96Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.79University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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7.23University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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7.22California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.0%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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8.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.07San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 57.5% | 24.5% | 11.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 10.2% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dalton Lovett | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Ted McDonough | 9.0% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Noah Barton | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Victoria Chen | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 17.8% | 48.6% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 3.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Blake Roberts | 2.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 10.3% |
| Morgan Burton | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 23.0% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.