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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.70+3.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+2.83vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39-1.28vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.50+3.29vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.64+1.76vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.38+1.50vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+0.15vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.41-0.58vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-1.80vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.59-3.07vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-2.41vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.14-0.73vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.54-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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1.72Stanford University3.390.6%1st Place
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7.29University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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6.76University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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7.5University of Washington0.380.0%1st Place
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7.15California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.0%1st Place
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7.42Western Washington University0.410.0%1st Place
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7.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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6.93Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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8.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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10.09San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 9.4% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 7.9% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 56.3% | 25.8% | 10.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 3.4% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Dalton Lovett | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 2.3% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 7.5% |
| Victoria Chen | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 15.4% | 51.8% |
| Morgan Burton | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 21.5% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.