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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.02+6.14vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+6.59vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+1.28vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+6.07vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.09+2.07vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.75-1.25vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.20-0.24vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.51+2.00vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+1.05vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.93+1.55vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-0.79vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.16+1.60vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-5.05vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-4.42vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.99-4.30vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.13-3.50vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.13-2.39vs Predicted
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18Florida State University0.77-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Tulane University2.028.0%1st Place
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8.59Harvard University2.105.5%1st Place
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4.28Yale University2.4218.8%1st Place
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10.07Northeastern University1.223.3%1st Place
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7.07Boston College2.098.1%1st Place
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4.75Dartmouth College2.7514.8%1st Place
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6.76Georgetown University2.208.8%1st Place
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10.0Bowdoin College1.513.6%1st Place
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10.05St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.2%1st Place
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11.55Tufts University0.932.0%1st Place
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10.21Boston University1.143.0%1st Place
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13.6Northwestern University0.161.1%1st Place
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7.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.0%1st Place
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9.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.2%1st Place
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10.7University of Hawaii0.992.7%1st Place
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12.5Fordham University1.132.1%1st Place
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14.61University of Vermont-0.130.9%1st Place
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11.59Florida State University0.773.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 18.8% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 14.8% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Grace Bray | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 22.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 11.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 35.7% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.