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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.70+2.21vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+1.89vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.38+3.62vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.64+1.74vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.41+1.45vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.54+2.77vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.50-0.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.50-1.69vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.59-3.01vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-4.10vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-3.08vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-1.14-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71Stanford University3.390.6%1st Place
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4.21University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
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4.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Washington0.380.0%1st Place
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6.74University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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7.45Western Washington University0.410.0%1st Place
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9.77San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.21California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.0%1st Place
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7.31University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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6.99Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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6.9University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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8.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.28University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 57.9% | 23.7% | 11.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 10.6% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 6.2% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 2.7% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Dalton Lovett | 2.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 22.1% | 20.8% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Noah Barton | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Blake Roberts | 2.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 9.9% |
| Victoria Chen | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.