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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+2.81vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.01vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.58-0.52vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.25+3.84vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.08+3.12vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.33+1.54vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.58-0.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.79-1.72vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.32-1.36vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-4.02vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-4.02vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.90-1.43vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.80-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.2%1st Place
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5.01University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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2.48Stanford University2.580.4%1st Place
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7.84University of Washington0.250.0%1st Place
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8.12Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
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7.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.330.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Southern California0.580.1%1st Place
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6.28University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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7.64Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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5.98California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.1%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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10.57University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.96San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alexander | 16.4% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 36.0% | 24.9% | 17.0% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zackery Martin | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Nathan Gerber | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 2.7% |
| Ryan Milne | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 1.7% |
| Marlo Bozza | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 2.2% |
| Kyle Farmer | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| George Soliman | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Fiona Wu | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 30.5% | 24.1% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 17.3% | 63.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.