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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+1.45vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.03vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+3.07vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.08+4.25vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.58+1.80vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-2.34vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.90+3.36vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.33-0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.25-1.14vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.80+1.83vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.79-4.93vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.32-4.24vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Stanford University2.580.4%1st Place
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5.03University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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6.07California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.1%1st Place
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8.25Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Southern California0.580.1%1st Place
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3.66University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.2%1st Place
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10.36University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.330.0%1st Place
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7.86University of Washington0.250.0%1st Place
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11.83San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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6.07University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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7.76Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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7.27University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 36.1% | 26.8% | 15.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Farmer | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 3.1% |
| Marlo Bozza | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| David Alexander | 18.9% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Wu | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 31.2% | 22.5% |
| Ryan Milne | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 2.0% |
| Zackery Martin | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 3.2% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 15.9% | 62.8% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| George Soliman | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.