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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.40+6.20vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+2.54vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+1.14vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+4.73vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.22+4.81vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.02+1.02vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.81vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20-1.28vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-1.32vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.51-0.11vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.51+1.92vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.14-2.34vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.69-1.24vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.13-1.65vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.77-3.68vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.16-2.47vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-7.62vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont-0.13-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Boston College2.407.6%1st Place
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4.54Dartmouth College2.7515.3%1st Place
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4.14Yale University2.4220.0%1st Place
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8.73Harvard University2.105.0%1st Place
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9.81Northeastern University1.224.2%1st Place
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7.02Tulane University2.028.2%1st Place
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9.81St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.0%1st Place
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6.72Georgetown University2.208.0%1st Place
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7.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.0%1st Place
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9.89Bowdoin College1.513.2%1st Place
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12.92University of Hawaii0.511.7%1st Place
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9.66Boston University1.143.8%1st Place
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11.76Tufts University0.691.7%1st Place
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12.35Fordham University1.132.1%1st Place
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11.32Florida State University0.772.4%1st Place
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13.53Northwestern University0.161.1%1st Place
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9.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.7%1st Place
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14.54University of Vermont-0.131.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 15.3% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 20.0% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Martha Schuessler | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 15.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Grace Bray | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 18.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.