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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.29+6.50vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+4.67vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+3.79vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.93+4.61vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.87+3.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.71+3.64vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+4.74vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.20-0.44vs Predicted
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9Columbia University2.43+1.74vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-2.57vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.29-3.51vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.74-2.18vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.23-5.60vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.34+0.16vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.43+1.43vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.77-2.73vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-9.09vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.81-9.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.79Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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8.84Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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11.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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7.56College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.74Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.49Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.82Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.4Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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14.16Connecticut College1.340.0%1st Place
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16.43Fordham University0.430.0%1st Place
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13.27University of Rhode Island1.770.0%1st Place
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7.91Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.99Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine Swanson | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Jamie Curran | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 3.5% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Price | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 24.2% | 17.6% |
| Mary Hamilton | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 61.1% |
| Catherine Coupland | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 20.2% | 10.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.