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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+1.44vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.33+5.52vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+2.96vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University0.32+3.54vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.79+1.16vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.58+0.75vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-3.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.30-3.08vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.08-0.79vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-2.94vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.90-0.70vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.80-0.06vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.00-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Stanford University2.580.4%1st Place
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7.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.330.0%1st Place
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5.96California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.1%1st Place
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7.54Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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6.16University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Southern California0.580.0%1st Place
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3.66University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.2%1st Place
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4.92University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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8.21Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
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7.06University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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10.3University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.94San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Washington-0.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 37.4% | 23.8% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Milne | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Kyle Farmer | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 1.8% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Marlo Bozza | 3.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| David Alexander | 18.2% | 19.4% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% |
| George Soliman | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Fiona Wu | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 28.2% | 19.0% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 13.6% | 65.5% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.