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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+1.37vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+3.69vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+7.44vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University0.32+3.24vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.79+0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.25+1.38vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.29vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-4.46vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.08-1.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.90+0.12vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-1.80+0.65vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.33-4.67vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California0.58-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Stanford University2.580.4%1st Place
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5.69California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.1%1st Place
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10.44University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.24Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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5.9University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Washington0.250.0%1st Place
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4.71University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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3.54University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.2%1st Place
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7.92Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
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10.12University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.65San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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7.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.330.0%1st Place
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6.71University of Southern California0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 37.8% | 26.2% | 15.9% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Farmer | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Martin | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 19.4% | 22.8% | 21.9% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Zackery Martin | 2.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 11.5% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 18.7% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 2.5% |
| Fiona Wu | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 25.5% | 16.4% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 20.0% | 52.6% |
| Ryan Milne | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Marlo Bozza | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.