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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+8.72vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.40+5.30vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+3.67vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.83vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69+6.99vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42-1.76vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.75-2.57vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.02-1.08vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.16+4.61vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-0.25vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.07vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.13+0.13vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.51-3.25vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-4.63vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.10-6.53vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.51-3.08vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.13-2.36vs Predicted
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18Florida State University0.77-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.72Northeastern University1.224.4%1st Place
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7.3Boston College2.407.5%1st Place
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6.67Georgetown University2.208.0%1st Place
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7.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.8%1st Place
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11.99Tufts University0.692.2%1st Place
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4.24Yale University2.4219.6%1st Place
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4.43Dartmouth College2.7516.6%1st Place
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6.92Tulane University2.027.1%1st Place
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13.61Northwestern University0.160.8%1st Place
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9.75Boston University1.143.9%1st Place
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9.93St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.2%1st Place
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12.13Fordham University1.131.6%1st Place
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9.75Bowdoin College1.513.5%1st Place
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9.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.974.3%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University2.105.2%1st Place
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12.92University of Hawaii0.511.7%1st Place
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14.64University of Vermont-0.130.9%1st Place
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11.33Florida State University0.772.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 19.6% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 16.6% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Grace Bray | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 19.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Martha Schuessler | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 14.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 33.2% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.