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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+6.77vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+5.48vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+3.87vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.29+3.21vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+2.61vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.93+2.78vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+0.21vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18-0.32vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.51-2.62vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.74-0.25vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.87-1.87vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+0.02vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.34+1.21vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.81-5.07vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.77-1.94vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.71-6.27vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.43-6.11vs Predicted
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18Fordham University0.43-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.48Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.87Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.21Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.61College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.68Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.38Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.75Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.13Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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12.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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14.21Connecticut College1.340.0%1st Place
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8.93Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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13.06University of Rhode Island1.770.0%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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10.89Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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16.3Fordham University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Emily Billing | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Swanson | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Jamie Curran | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 5.8% |
| Sarah Price | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 25.1% | 18.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Catherine Coupland | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 9.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Mary Hamilton | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 16.3% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.