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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20+2.32vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.54-0.24vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.46+1.46vs Predicted
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4American University-1.07+1.52vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.52-0.40vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.42-0.01vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-3.01vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.67-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.2%1st Place
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1.76Webb Institute1.540.5%1st Place
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4.46Columbia University-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.52American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.6Monmouth University-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.99Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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3.99SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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6.36Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunrae Sturmer | 15.2% | 22.5% | 21.4% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 53.4% | 27.5% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chase O'Malley | 7.0% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| Anika Liner | 3.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 18.8% |
| Patrick Cashin | 6.3% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 6.3% |
| Collin Ross | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 21.8% | 28.9% |
| Brendan Strein | 9.8% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Kate Faranetta | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 23.6% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.