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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.54+0.73vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.13+1.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20+0.37vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-1.67+2.40vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.42+1.08vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.46-1.56vs Predicted
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7American University-1.07-1.45vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.52-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73Webb Institute1.540.5%1st Place
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3.94SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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6.4Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
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6.08Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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4.44Columbia University-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.55American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.49Monmouth University-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 54.2% | 28.1% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 10.7% | 13.5% | 19.9% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 7.6% | 2.2% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 14.5% | 21.3% | 20.5% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 39.7% |
| Collin Ross | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 24.9% | 28.5% |
| Chase O'Malley | 8.0% | 9.3% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 5.9% |
| Anika Liner | 3.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 23.7% | 17.6% |
| Patrick Cashin | 4.8% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 10.7% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.