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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.54+0.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20+1.42vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.42+2.98vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.46+0.47vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-1.07vs Predicted
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6American University-1.07-0.53vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.52-2.37vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.67-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Webb Institute1.540.6%1st Place
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3.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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5.98Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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4.47Columbia University-0.460.1%1st Place
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3.93SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.47American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.63Monmouth University-0.520.1%1st Place
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6.35Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 55.0% | 26.0% | 12.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 13.2% | 21.3% | 21.6% | 18.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Collin Ross | 3.0% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 22.8% | 28.9% |
| Chase O'Malley | 6.6% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 5.3% |
| Brendan Strein | 10.1% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 2.0% |
| Anika Liner | 4.5% | 4.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 17.9% |
| Patrick Cashin | 6.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 7.9% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 17.0% | 21.0% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.