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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.54+0.76vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.13+1.92vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.42+2.97vs Predicted
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4American University-1.07+1.52vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.46-0.51vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.52-1.45vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20-3.56vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.67-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Webb Institute1.540.5%1st Place
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3.92SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.97Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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5.52American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.49Columbia University-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.55Monmouth University-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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6.34Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 53.0% | 28.2% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 10.5% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.6% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Collin Ross | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 22.3% | 29.1% |
| Anika Liner | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 19.9% | 18.7% |
| Chase O'Malley | 6.9% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 5.1% |
| Patrick Cashin | 7.0% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 6.6% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 13.9% | 20.0% | 21.0% | 18.9% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 21.4% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.