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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.54+0.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20+1.41vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.42+2.97vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-0.06vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.52-0.41vs Predicted
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6American University-1.07-0.52vs Predicted
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7Columbia University-0.46-2.46vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.67-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Webb Institute1.540.6%1st Place
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3.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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5.97Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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3.94SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.59Monmouth University-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.48American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.54Columbia University-0.460.1%1st Place
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6.34Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 55.1% | 25.1% | 14.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 13.3% | 22.4% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Collin Ross | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 22.8% | 28.6% |
| Brendan Strein | 9.4% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Patrick Cashin | 7.0% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 5.5% |
| Anika Liner | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 20.5% | 17.7% |
| Chase O'Malley | 6.3% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 7.6% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 22.0% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.