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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.54+0.73vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.13+1.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20+0.35vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.52+0.63vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.42+1.07vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.46-1.58vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.67-0.56vs Predicted
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8American University-1.07-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73Webb Institute1.540.5%1st Place
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3.94SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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4.63Monmouth University-0.520.1%1st Place
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6.07Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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4.42Columbia University-0.460.1%1st Place
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6.44Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
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5.43American University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 54.1% | 27.3% | 12.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 10.3% | 14.6% | 19.2% | 18.5% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 14.1% | 21.9% | 20.1% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Cashin | 6.5% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 6.7% |
| Collin Ross | 2.3% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 24.8% | 27.5% |
| Chase O'Malley | 7.7% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 5.3% |
| Kate Faranetta | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 20.0% | 42.3% |
| Anika Liner | 2.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.