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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University-0.52+3.80vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20+1.66vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.26+1.39vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.46+0.75vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.54-3.16vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-1.87vs Predicted
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7American University-1.07-1.18vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.67-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Monmouth University-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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4.39Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
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4.75Columbia University-0.460.1%1st Place
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1.84Webb Institute1.540.5%1st Place
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4.13SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.82American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.61Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Cashin | 5.9% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 9.2% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 13.2% | 16.0% | 20.8% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 8.6% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 4.7% |
| Chase O'Malley | 6.9% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 8.3% |
| Everett Botwinick | 51.0% | 27.2% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 9.1% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| Anika Liner | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 22.5% | 25.2% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 20.1% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.