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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.46+3.68vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.13+2.19vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.54-1.17vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20-0.36vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.52-0.09vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.67+0.64vs Predicted
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7American University-1.07-1.18vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.26-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Columbia University-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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1.83Webb Institute1.540.5%1st Place
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3.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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4.91Monmouth University-0.520.1%1st Place
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6.64Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
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5.82American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.3Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase O'Malley | 6.4% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 5.7% |
| Brendan Strein | 9.3% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 3.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 51.2% | 27.0% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 12.6% | 20.3% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Cashin | 5.3% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 9.2% |
| Kate Faranetta | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 49.6% |
| Anika Liner | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 23.8% | 24.2% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 9.2% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.