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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.54+0.84vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.20+1.65vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.26+1.36vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.52+0.86vs Predicted
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5American University-1.07+0.78vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.46-1.28vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-2.82vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.67-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Webb Institute1.540.5%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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4.36Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
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4.86Monmouth University-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.78American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.72Columbia University-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.18SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
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6.61Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 50.8% | 27.5% | 13.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sunrae Sturmer | 12.4% | 18.4% | 20.0% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 8.4% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 10.9% | 5.1% |
| Patrick Cashin | 5.8% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 10.9% |
| Anika Liner | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 22.6% | 23.7% |
| Chase O'Malley | 7.1% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 8.2% |
| Brendan Strein | 10.1% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 4.0% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 20.5% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.