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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+5.47vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+2.10vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.13+8.99vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+0.35vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+2.65vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+3.77vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.40+0.37vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+1.92vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.10-0.66vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.51-0.14vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+1.85vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.02-5.09vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.16+0.26vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.14-4.19vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.77-3.52vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.99-5.55vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.69-5.16vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont-0.13-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Georgetown University2.208.4%1st Place
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4.1Yale University2.4219.4%1st Place
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11.99Fordham University1.132.8%1st Place
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4.35Dartmouth College2.7517.0%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.9%1st Place
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9.77Northeastern University1.223.5%1st Place
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7.37Boston College2.407.0%1st Place
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9.92St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.5%1st Place
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8.34Harvard University2.105.1%1st Place
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9.86Bowdoin College1.513.8%1st Place
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12.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.561.6%1st Place
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6.91Tulane University2.028.2%1st Place
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13.26Northwestern University0.161.4%1st Place
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9.81Boston University1.143.5%1st Place
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11.48Florida State University0.772.1%1st Place
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10.45University of Hawaii0.993.6%1st Place
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11.84Tufts University0.692.6%1st Place
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14.58University of Vermont-0.130.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 19.4% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.0% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Brook Wood | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 12.8% |
| Samantha Gardner | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grace Bray | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 18.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 5.8% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.