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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.29+6.54vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.45+4.86vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+4.40vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+3.18vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.81+4.11vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.20+1.66vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51-0.61vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.23-0.57vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87-0.04vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.93-1.01vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.18-3.10vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.71-2.00vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-3.67vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-2.56vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.34-0.61vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.77-2.72vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.43-6.11vs Predicted
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18Fordham University0.43-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.86Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.18Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.11Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.66College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.39Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.43Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.96Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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7.9Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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9.33Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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11.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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14.39Connecticut College1.340.0%1st Place
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13.28University of Rhode Island1.770.0%1st Place
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10.89Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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16.28Fordham University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine Swanson | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Jamie Curran | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Price | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 25.1% | 20.0% |
| Catherine Coupland | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 10.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 2.0% |
| Mary Hamilton | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 16.6% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.