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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+0.53vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.33+2.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21+0.31vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.03-0.31vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-0.84-0.14vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-1.81vs Predicted
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7American University-2.61-0.16vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-3.44-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53Webb Institute1.910.6%1st Place
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4.12Columbia University-0.330.1%1st Place
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3.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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3.69Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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4.86Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
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4.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.1%1st Place
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6.84American University-2.610.0%1st Place
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7.46Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 62.6% | 25.7% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Yuen | 6.4% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 22.6% | 17.0% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 11.3% | 23.4% | 21.2% | 21.0% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 8.8% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 20.7% | 17.8% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 3.5% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 19.1% | 30.4% | 12.3% | 1.3% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 6.3% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 19.5% | 19.6% | 6.3% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Clauson | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 9.3% | 48.3% | 31.1% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 23.7% | 66.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.