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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+0.52vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.42+2.04vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.03+0.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-0.82vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.33-1.11vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.95-0.08vs Predicted
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7American University-2.61-0.35vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-3.44-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52Webb Institute1.910.6%1st Place
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4.04SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.1%1st Place
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3.46Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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3.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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3.89Columbia University-0.330.1%1st Place
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5.92Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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6.65American University-2.610.0%1st Place
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7.34Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 63.9% | 24.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 5.9% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 21.7% | 25.1% | 13.1% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Alexa Whitman | 9.4% | 20.4% | 21.7% | 23.3% | 15.5% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 11.3% | 25.3% | 23.0% | 21.0% | 14.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Yuen | 7.0% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 21.6% | 22.5% | 12.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 13.2% | 35.5% | 26.5% | 10.6% |
| Thomas Clauson | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 19.3% | 39.1% | 27.8% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 7.7% | 25.3% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.