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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+0.55vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.03+1.68vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.33+1.07vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.42+0.27vs Predicted
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5American University-2.61+1.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-2.66vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-3.44+0.47vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-0.84-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Webb Institute1.910.6%1st Place
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3.68Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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4.07Columbia University-0.330.1%1st Place
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4.27SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.1%1st Place
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6.84American University-2.610.0%1st Place
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3.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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7.47Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
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4.79Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 62.0% | 25.3% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 8.6% | 18.6% | 21.3% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Yuen | 8.2% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 19.5% | 20.5% | 17.9% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 6.1% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 21.7% | 20.5% | 6.5% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Clauson | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 51.8% | 28.0% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 11.0% | 21.2% | 25.6% | 19.4% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 21.5% | 69.7% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 3.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 27.4% | 11.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.