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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+0.55vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.03+1.66vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21+0.35vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.42+0.26vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.33-0.91vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-0.84-1.21vs Predicted
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7American University-2.61-0.16vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-3.44-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Webb Institute1.910.6%1st Place
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3.66Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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3.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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4.26SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.09Columbia University-0.330.1%1st Place
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4.79Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.84American University-2.610.0%1st Place
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7.46Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 62.2% | 25.3% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 9.0% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 20.7% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 11.4% | 22.4% | 22.0% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 6.1% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 21.0% | 20.5% | 6.4% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Yuen | 6.0% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 21.2% | 20.5% | 16.8% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 4.3% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 19.4% | 28.7% | 11.5% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Clauson | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 9.8% | 48.2% | 30.8% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 24.5% | 66.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.