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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+0.54vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.03+1.68vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21+0.34vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.84+0.83vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-0.75vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.33-1.95vs Predicted
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7American University-2.61-0.16vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-3.44-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54Webb Institute1.910.6%1st Place
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3.68Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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3.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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4.83Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
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4.25SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.05Columbia University-0.330.1%1st Place
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6.84American University-2.610.0%1st Place
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7.46Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 62.8% | 24.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 9.2% | 17.0% | 20.6% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 11.7% | 22.0% | 22.7% | 19.4% | 14.5% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 3.4% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 29.4% | 12.5% | 1.4% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 5.2% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 21.9% | 19.2% | 6.3% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Yuen | 6.6% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 21.1% | 17.3% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Clauson | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 10.1% | 48.3% | 30.7% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 24.4% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.