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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+0.56vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21+1.35vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.03+0.67vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.33+0.11vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-0.84-0.16vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-1.81vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-3.44+0.48vs Predicted
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8American University-2.61-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56Webb Institute1.910.6%1st Place
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3.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
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3.67Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
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4.11Columbia University-0.330.1%1st Place
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4.84Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
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4.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.1%1st Place
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7.48Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
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6.81American University-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 61.9% | 25.1% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 11.7% | 21.2% | 23.4% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 7.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexa Whitman | 9.4% | 17.4% | 19.8% | 21.3% | 18.1% | 11.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Yuen | 6.5% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 19.8% | 19.6% | 17.3% | 6.5% | 0.2% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 3.7% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 19.2% | 29.8% | 11.6% | 1.6% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 6.1% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 17.7% | 21.7% | 18.9% | 6.2% | 0.2% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 5.1% | 19.1% | 70.9% |
| Thomas Clauson | 0.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 9.9% | 52.9% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.