← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.91+0.55vs Predicted
-
2Syracuse University-0.03+1.66vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21+0.32vs Predicted
-
4Columbia University-0.33+0.09vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-0.77vs Predicted
-
6American University-2.61+0.80vs Predicted
-
7Rutgers University-0.84-2.13vs Predicted
-
8Monmouth University-3.44-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.55Webb Institute1.910.6%1st Place
-
3.66Syracuse University-0.030.1%1st Place
-
3.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.1%1st Place
-
4.09Columbia University-0.330.1%1st Place
-
4.23SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.1%1st Place
-
6.8American University-2.610.0%1st Place
-
4.87Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
-
7.47Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 62.5% | 24.6% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 8.8% | 17.1% | 22.3% | 20.6% | 17.2% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 11.6% | 22.8% | 21.9% | 19.8% | 15.0% | 7.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Yuen | 6.8% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 19.5% | 21.2% | 17.6% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 5.9% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 21.7% | 19.5% | 5.8% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Clauson | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 11.3% | 48.8% | 28.6% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 3.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 30.0% | 13.1% | 2.1% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 23.0% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.