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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.40+6.31vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+5.65vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20+3.75vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+5.86vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+4.64vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42-1.87vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51+2.89vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.75-3.47vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14+0.91vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.02-3.05vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.13+1.10vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.10-3.55vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.16+0.49vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-1.16vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.99-4.80vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.77-4.53vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.69-5.58vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont-0.13-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Boston College2.406.1%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.6%1st Place
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6.75Georgetown University2.207.8%1st Place
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9.86Northeastern University1.223.6%1st Place
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9.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.6%1st Place
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4.13Yale University2.4218.1%1st Place
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9.89Bowdoin College1.513.2%1st Place
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4.53Dartmouth College2.7517.3%1st Place
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9.91Boston University1.143.8%1st Place
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6.95Tulane University2.028.9%1st Place
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12.1Fordham University1.132.4%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University2.105.1%1st Place
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13.49Northwestern University0.161.4%1st Place
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12.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.561.3%1st Place
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10.2University of Hawaii0.993.5%1st Place
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11.47Florida State University0.773.2%1st Place
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11.42Tufts University0.692.5%1st Place
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14.39University of Vermont-0.131.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 18.1% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.3% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 8.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Grace Bray | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 19.7% |
| Brook Wood | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 14.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.