Race 2A

central-series-msm

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
John Polek 26.9% 20.5% 21.6% 10.1% 9.8% 4.9% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Wilson Kaznoski 18.6% 18.5% 15.3% 15.7% 11.0% 7.7% 6.6% 4.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Harris 9.9% 9.0% 10.3% 10.9% 13.7% 13.1% 10.9% 11.3% 5.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.7%
Richard Kalich 6.3% 9.0% 10.1% 11.0% 12.0% 12.3% 11.2% 10.8% 8.8% 5.7% 1.9% 0.9%
Andy Leshaw 8.1% 8.9% 9.7% 13.5% 10.2% 12.9% 11.6% 9.3% 7.3% 5.3% 2.8% 0.4%
Peter Schnell 15.2% 16.5% 14.0% 14.5% 12.6% 10.7% 7.3% 5.5% 2.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Kate Myler 5.4% 5.7% 5.6% 9.1% 8.7% 10.9% 10.3% 13.2% 11.9% 9.4% 6.5% 3.3%
Martin Keene 1.4% 1.6% 3.4% 2.8% 3.9% 3.9% 6.4% 8.5% 8.8% 13.6% 19.0% 26.7%
Camren Conant 1.7% 2.2% 2.2% 2.5% 4.2% 5.3% 8.5% 8.5% 13.9% 15.7% 18.5% 16.8%
Henry Poynter 3.2% 3.9% 3.6% 4.1% 5.5% 7.7% 10.5% 9.3% 15.5% 13.4% 13.9% 9.4%
Brett Tardie 2.2% 1.7% 2.1% 3.3% 5.1% 7.5% 7.8% 8.6% 11.6% 16.1% 17.8% 16.2%
William Procter 1.1% 2.5% 2.1% 2.5% 3.3% 3.1% 5.5% 8.5% 12.1% 15.6% 18.2% 25.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.