Race 4A

central-series-msm

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Wilson Kaznoski 17.6% 17.3% 16.2% 15.1% 13.8% 7.4% 6.6% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
John Polek 25.8% 22.3% 17.7% 12.8% 9.2% 6.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard Kalich 8.9% 7.4% 10.0% 9.8% 10.2% 12.6% 13.3% 10.9% 9.7% 4.9% 1.5% 0.8%
Peter Schnell 14.3% 16.6% 15.8% 14.4% 12.3% 10.0% 7.4% 5.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Camren Conant 1.6% 2.2% 2.8% 3.6% 4.0% 6.1% 6.0% 10.0% 10.9% 13.8% 19.1% 19.9%
Andy Leshaw 8.8% 9.1% 9.6% 9.4% 13.1% 12.5% 12.3% 9.7% 7.2% 5.7% 2.3% 0.3%
Henry Poynter 3.1% 4.0% 3.3% 5.0% 5.8% 8.3% 8.8% 11.2% 13.3% 14.1% 13.9% 9.2%
Sam Harris 10.8% 10.3% 10.0% 13.1% 11.5% 11.9% 11.4% 8.4% 7.0% 3.3% 1.5% 0.8%
Kate Myler 3.7% 4.7% 6.8% 8.4% 9.3% 11.5% 12.9% 13.2% 11.1% 11.0% 5.1% 2.3%
Brett Tardie 2.2% 2.8% 3.4% 3.8% 4.0% 5.8% 7.3% 10.0% 14.3% 15.8% 15.6% 15.0%
William Procter 2.0% 1.3% 1.6% 2.3% 3.4% 3.8% 6.1% 8.0% 10.3% 15.5% 20.5% 25.2%
Martin Keene 1.2% 2.0% 2.8% 2.3% 3.4% 3.4% 4.4% 8.3% 11.2% 14.5% 20.0% 26.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.