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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+3.52vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.02+4.99vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+5.42vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+3.26vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.42-0.81vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.14+4.04vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51+2.85vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20-1.21vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.22+0.73vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-2.25vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.13+1.13vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-2.24vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.93-1.75vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-1.14vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.77-3.61vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.16-2.61vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii0.99-6.78vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont-0.13-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Dartmouth College2.7517.9%1st Place
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6.99Tulane University2.026.7%1st Place
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8.42Harvard University2.105.2%1st Place
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7.26Boston College2.407.6%1st Place
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4.19Yale University2.4219.0%1st Place
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10.04Boston University1.143.4%1st Place
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9.85Bowdoin College1.513.7%1st Place
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6.79Georgetown University2.209.4%1st Place
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9.73Northeastern University1.223.6%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.7%1st Place
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12.13Fordham University1.132.1%1st Place
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9.76St. Mary's College of Maryland1.763.5%1st Place
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11.25Tufts University0.932.6%1st Place
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12.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.561.5%1st Place
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11.39Florida State University0.772.2%1st Place
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13.39Northwestern University0.161.2%1st Place
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10.22University of Hawaii0.993.9%1st Place
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14.45University of Vermont-0.130.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.9% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 19.0% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| Brook Wood | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 14.1% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Grace Bray | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 19.7% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.