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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+3.29vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+6.42vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.69+0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.09+0.70vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.39-1.00vs Predicted
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6Boston University-0.72+0.81vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.67+2.30vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.86-0.85vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.78-1.88vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.30-1.55vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.36-2.57vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-2.55-0.69vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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8.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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3.38Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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4.7University of Rhode Island0.090.1%1st Place
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4.0University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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6.81Boston University-0.720.1%1st Place
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9.3Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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7.15Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.12University of New Hampshire-0.780.1%1st Place
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8.45University of New Hampshire-1.300.0%1st Place
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8.43University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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11.31Olin College of Engineering-2.550.0%1st Place
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7.64University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Van Zanten | 15.0% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Norman Walker | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 6.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 22.2% | 21.0% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 13.1% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 17.7% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Talia Trigg | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 15.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Vincent (Vinny) Pallotto | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 8.5% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 7.0% |
| Daniel Heitz | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 15.6% | 52.4% |
| Kai Latham | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.