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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+3.32vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.69+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.39+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.09+0.70vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+3.29vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.86+1.16vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.30+1.35vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.36+0.52vs Predicted
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9Boston University-0.72-2.10vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.78-3.00vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-2.55+0.15vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-4.37vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.67-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.2%1st Place
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3.36Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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4.04University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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4.7University of Rhode Island0.090.1%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.16Bentley University-0.860.1%1st Place
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8.35University of New Hampshire-1.300.0%1st Place
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8.52University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.9Boston University-0.720.1%1st Place
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7.0University of New Hampshire-0.780.1%1st Place
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11.15Olin College of Engineering-2.550.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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9.58Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Van Zanten | 15.6% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 22.5% | 21.6% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 16.1% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 11.9% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Norman Walker | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 7.3% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Vincent (Vinny) Pallotto | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 7.8% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 7.9% |
| Josh Sultanik | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Daniel Heitz | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 48.1% |
| Kai Latham | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.