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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.09+3.75vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.39+2.02vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.69+0.37vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+0.32vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+3.33vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+1.42vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.78-0.09vs Predicted
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8Boston University-0.72-1.15vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.36-0.32vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.67-0.65vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.30-2.72vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-2.55-0.67vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-0.86-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75University of Rhode Island0.090.1%1st Place
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4.02University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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3.37Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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4.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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8.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.1%1st Place
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6.91University of New Hampshire-0.780.1%1st Place
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6.85Boston University-0.720.1%1st Place
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8.68University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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9.35Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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8.28University of New Hampshire-1.300.0%1st Place
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11.33Olin College of Engineering-2.550.0%1st Place
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7.39Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Asofsky | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| James Sullivan | 15.8% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 23.2% | 20.5% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 14.4% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Norman Walker | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 5.9% |
| Kai Latham | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 6.9% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Josh Sultanik | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 9.4% |
| Talia Trigg | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 15.2% |
| Vincent (Vinny) Pallotto | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 6.7% |
| Daniel Heitz | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 15.5% | 52.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.