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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+3.32vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.39+2.04vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.69+0.35vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.09+0.73vs Predicted
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5Boston University-0.72+1.77vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+2.36vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.86+0.11vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.30+0.41vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-1.42vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.78-3.00vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.36-2.57vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.67-2.47vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering-2.55-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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4.04University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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3.35Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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4.73University of Rhode Island0.090.1%1st Place
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6.77Boston University-0.720.1%1st Place
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8.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.11Bentley University-0.860.1%1st Place
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8.41University of New Hampshire-1.300.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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7.0University of New Hampshire-0.780.1%1st Place
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8.43University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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9.53Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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11.37Olin College of Engineering-2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Van Zanten | 15.0% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 15.4% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 24.0% | 19.8% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Josh Sultanik | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Norman Walker | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 6.9% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Vincent (Vinny) Pallotto | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 6.1% |
| Kai Latham | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 6.8% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 17.3% |
| Daniel Heitz | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.