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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University-0.72+5.47vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.09+2.47vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.39+0.77vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.69-0.80vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-0.91vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+1.83vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.36+0.86vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.78-1.50vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.30-1.21vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.86-3.28vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.67-2.14vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-2.55-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Boston University-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Rhode Island0.090.1%1st Place
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3.77University of New Hampshire0.390.2%1st Place
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3.2Fairfield University0.690.3%1st Place
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4.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.2%1st Place
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7.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.86University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.5University of New Hampshire-0.780.1%1st Place
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7.79University of New Hampshire-1.300.0%1st Place
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6.72Bentley University-0.860.1%1st Place
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8.86Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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10.44Olin College of Engineering-2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Sultanik | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 12.0% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 18.1% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 25.1% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 15.4% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Norman Walker | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 7.5% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 8.5% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Vincent (Vinny) Pallotto | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 5.9% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 2.7% |
| Talia Trigg | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| Daniel Heitz | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.