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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+7.00vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+4.65vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+3.92vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+3.19vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+2.66vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.29+1.38vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.23+0.54vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.93+0.65vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87-0.05vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.34+4.55vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.71-1.22vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.74-2.17vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-5.97vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-2.61vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.81-5.85vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.43-5.16vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.77-3.76vs Predicted
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18Fordham University0.43-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.92Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.19Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.66College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.54Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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8.95Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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14.55Connecticut College1.340.0%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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9.83Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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11.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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9.15Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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10.84Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Rhode Island1.770.0%1st Place
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16.27Fordham University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Catherine Swanson | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Price | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 27.1% | 20.4% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 9.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jamie Curran | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Catherine Coupland | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 9.1% |
| Mary Hamilton | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 7.4% | 16.8% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.