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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.08+1.26vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.43+1.24vs Predicted
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3Florida State University-0.32+1.48vs Predicted
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40.01-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.96+0.48vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.61-1.11vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.17-2.77vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-2.67-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Jacksonville University1.080.4%1st Place
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3.24Jacksonville University0.430.2%1st Place
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4.48Florida State University-0.320.1%1st Place
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3.960.010.1%1st Place
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5.48University of South Florida-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.89University of Miami-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.23Eckerd College-0.170.1%1st Place
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7.45Embry-Riddle University-2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agija Elerte | 38.6% | 26.0% | 17.0% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ella Bilow | 18.0% | 21.8% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Tia Schoening | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 3.6% |
| KA Hamner | 11.4% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 1.4% |
| Jordan MacMoyle | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 21.3% | 29.4% | 9.5% |
| Danielle Ketner | 7.3% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 21.1% | 5.5% |
| Lily Schwartz | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 2.5% |
| Samantha Piccerillo | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 11.2% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.