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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+5.25vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.38+2.76vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35+2.04vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.77+2.76vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.01+1.12vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.85+0.64vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.37+0.72vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.19+2.98vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.08-3.17vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.10-4.20vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.19vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-0.18vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.19-2.02vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-2.14vs Predicted
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15The Citadel1.11-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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4.76Roger Williams University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.04Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.76Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.12Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.64Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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7.72Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Wisconsin0.190.0%1st Place
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5.83U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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5.8University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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11.82SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Wisconsin0.190.0%1st Place
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11.86University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.62The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 13.4% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Quinn | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 23.4% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 24.6% | 33.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Quinn | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 23.4% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 15.6% | 21.2% | 37.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.