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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+5.25vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.77+4.51vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.08+2.78vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35+1.02vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.10+0.82vs Predicted
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6The Citadel1.11+2.88vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-0.51vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38-3.05vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.01-2.96vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.37-1.94vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.85-4.47vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.19-0.87vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-1.13vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.19-2.87vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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6.51Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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5.02Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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8.88The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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6.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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4.95Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.04Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.06Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.53Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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11.13University of Wisconsin0.190.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Wisconsin0.190.0%1st Place
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11.67SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 12.4% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 14.0% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Quinn | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 18.9% | 21.6% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 14.7% | 21.8% | 37.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Quinn | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 18.9% | 21.6% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 25.4% | 31.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.