← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.91+5.25vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.01+3.78vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.38+1.91vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.10+1.78vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College1.85+1.60vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.08-0.15vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.77-0.54vs Predicted
-
8The Citadel1.11+0.62vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin0.19+2.16vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.37-1.91vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.13vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University2.35-6.92vs Predicted
-
13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-1.14vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin0.19-2.84vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.25Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
-
5.78Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
-
4.91Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
5.78University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
-
6.6Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
-
5.85U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
-
6.46Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
-
8.62The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
-
11.16University of Wisconsin0.190.0%1st Place
-
8.09Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
-
6.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
-
5.08Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
-
11.86University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.0%1st Place
-
11.16University of Wisconsin0.190.0%1st Place
-
11.66SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 13.8% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Quinn | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 18.2% | 24.3% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 12.5% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 22.8% | 37.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Quinn | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 18.2% | 24.3% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 14.5% | 23.2% | 31.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.