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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+5.66vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.91+4.11vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35+1.98vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.01+2.02vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.10+0.86vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.38-1.00vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.19+3.84vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.08-2.24vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.85-2.46vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.77-3.15vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.37-2.97vs Predicted
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12The Citadel1.11-3.24vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-1.13vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-2.28vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.19-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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6.11Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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4.98Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.02Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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5.0Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.84University of Wisconsin0.190.0%1st Place
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5.76U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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6.54Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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6.85Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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8.03Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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8.76The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.0%1st Place
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11.72SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Wisconsin0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Zylinski | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 14.0% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 13.2% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Quinn | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 10.8% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 14.3% | 22.8% | 37.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 24.8% | 31.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Quinn | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.