← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+5.66vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.38+2.76vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.77+3.71vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College1.85+2.45vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin0.19+6.10vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.08-0.08vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.10-1.48vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute1.91-1.64vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.01-2.89vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University2.35-4.90vs Predicted
-
11The Citadel1.11-2.23vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.37-4.02vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-1.32vs Predicted
-
14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-2.13vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin0.19-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
-
4.76Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
6.71Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
-
6.45Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
-
11.1University of Wisconsin0.190.0%1st Place
-
5.92U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
-
5.52University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
-
6.36Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
-
6.11Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
-
5.1Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
-
8.77The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
-
7.98Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
-
11.68SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
-
11.87University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.0%1st Place
-
11.1University of Wisconsin0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Zylinski | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 14.5% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Quinn | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 18.0% | 21.5% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 2.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 24.2% | 33.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 23.0% | 36.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Quinn | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 18.0% | 21.5% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.