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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.01+4.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.08+3.56vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.77+3.70vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.37+3.95vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.91+1.41vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.38-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.19+3.84vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.85-1.57vs Predicted
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9Princeton University2.35-3.85vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23+2.01vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.12vs Predicted
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12The Citadel1.11-3.28vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10-7.32vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-2.29vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.19-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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6.7Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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7.95Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.41Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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5.06Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.84University of Wisconsin0.190.0%1st Place
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6.43Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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5.15Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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12.01University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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8.72The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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11.71SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Wisconsin0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 9.1% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 12.7% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Quinn | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 23.0% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 12.6% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 21.0% | 39.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 10.5% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 23.4% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Quinn | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 23.0% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.