Race 7A

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Payne Donaldson 7.4% 7.0% 8.9% 7.9% 9.7% 9.1% 9.8% 9.1% 12.2% 9.8% 6.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Katherine McNamara 9.9% 11.1% 9.5% 10.5% 10.7% 10.3% 10.6% 8.1% 9.2% 5.9% 2.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Gregory Walters 3.7% 3.5% 4.1% 6.7% 5.5% 7.3% 8.9% 9.2% 10.6% 14.4% 14.3% 9.3% 2.5% 0.0%
Jack Flores 8.3% 7.8% 9.4% 9.1% 9.7% 7.9% 9.8% 10.5% 10.9% 9.4% 4.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Oliver Stokke 15.7% 15.2% 13.2% 11.6% 10.2% 10.3% 8.1% 5.9% 4.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Brendan Strein 0.7% 1.5% 1.8% 1.9% 2.3% 3.0% 2.2% 3.4% 5.9% 8.0% 16.4% 25.7% 27.2% 0.0%
Luke Zylinski 9.8% 8.6% 7.7% 7.7% 9.2% 9.8% 10.4% 11.3% 8.5% 9.4% 4.9% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Tyler Nash 11.7% 10.7% 11.3% 12.2% 10.3% 10.3% 9.2% 9.1% 6.7% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 13.7% 14.7% 13.2% 11.8% 12.3% 7.4% 8.2% 7.6% 5.2% 3.4% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Dillon 6.0% 5.3% 6.4% 6.6% 6.9% 9.2% 8.8% 9.2% 11.5% 12.1% 10.3% 6.1% 1.6% 0.0%
Caden Scheiblauer 11.5% 12.1% 11.5% 11.4% 10.3% 11.4% 9.0% 8.3% 6.0% 4.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Noah Hallerman 0.7% 1.5% 2.0% 0.9% 1.6% 2.3% 3.1% 4.0% 4.5% 7.2% 15.1% 26.3% 30.8% 0.0%
Tiernan O'Kane 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.7% 1.3% 1.7% 1.9% 4.3% 3.9% 7.9% 16.7% 22.1% 35.6% 0.0%
Noah Hallerman 0.7% 1.5% 2.0% 0.9% 1.6% 2.3% 3.1% 4.0% 4.5% 7.2% 15.1% 26.3% 30.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.