← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.01+4.49vs Predicted
-
2Webb Institute1.69+4.37vs Predicted
-
3The Citadel1.11+4.96vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.08+1.26vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University2.35-0.45vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.10-0.82vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.37+0.06vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.77-1.93vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin-0.16+1.74vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.38-5.50vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin-0.16-0.26vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-6.00vs Predicted
-
13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-2.03vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.49Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
-
6.37Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
-
7.96The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
-
5.26U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
-
4.55Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
-
5.18University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
-
7.06Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
-
6.07Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
-
10.74University of Wisconsin-0.160.0%1st Place
-
4.5Roger Williams University2.380.2%1st Place
-
10.74University of Wisconsin-0.160.0%1st Place
-
6.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
-
10.97University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.0%1st Place
-
10.84SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 11.7% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 14.5% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hallerman | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 26.2% | 30.5% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 15.2% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hallerman | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 26.2% | 30.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 15.1% | 23.9% | 34.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 16.8% | 27.3% | 28.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.