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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+4.53vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+2.38vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+1.30vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.37+2.83vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.85vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77-0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.10-2.11vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.08-3.00vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.13+1.00vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.01-4.87vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin-0.16-0.92vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-1.82vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin-0.16-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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4.38Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.3Roger Williams University2.380.2%1st Place
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6.83Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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5.83Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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5.0U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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10.0SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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5.13Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Wisconsin-0.160.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Wisconsin-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 13.9% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 16.0% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 17.3% | 28.5% | 28.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hallerman | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 15.9% | 26.9% | 32.4% | 0.0% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 17.2% | 25.2% | 35.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hallerman | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 15.9% | 26.9% | 32.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.