Race 10A

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Oliver Stokke 14.7% 13.6% 13.8% 12.7% 11.3% 11.0% 7.7% 7.3% 4.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Katherine McNamara 9.6% 10.5% 11.4% 10.0% 12.3% 10.6% 11.4% 8.2% 8.9% 5.5% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Caden Scheiblauer 11.7% 11.0% 11.3% 10.3% 10.9% 9.5% 11.6% 11.1% 8.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack Flores 7.6% 7.8% 9.6% 10.5% 9.3% 12.1% 9.8% 9.2% 10.7% 8.8% 4.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Luke Zylinski 7.9% 9.0% 9.0% 8.9% 10.9% 9.7% 10.4% 11.7% 10.3% 7.8% 3.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Tyler Nash 11.8% 11.9% 9.8% 11.8% 10.8% 11.1% 9.6% 10.3% 6.4% 5.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Lucas Quinn 2.0% 2.6% 2.3% 2.6% 1.6% 4.3% 4.1% 6.1% 9.7% 18.3% 23.4% 23.0% 0.0%
Rayne Duff 11.0% 10.0% 10.1% 10.5% 9.7% 8.7% 11.1% 9.0% 11.1% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 14.8% 15.9% 15.6% 11.8% 10.4% 9.9% 9.1% 6.1% 3.6% 2.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 3.3% 2.0% 1.9% 4.3% 6.0% 13.1% 27.5% 36.1% 0.0%
Brendan Strein 1.7% 1.3% 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 2.4% 3.0% 4.5% 6.4% 13.6% 27.2% 36.0% 0.0%
Joshua Dillon 6.1% 4.9% 4.6% 7.8% 8.0% 8.7% 10.3% 12.2% 13.9% 14.1% 7.4% 2.0% 0.0%
Lucas Quinn 2.0% 2.6% 2.3% 2.6% 1.6% 4.3% 4.1% 6.1% 9.7% 18.3% 23.4% 23.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.