Race 11A

connecticut-valley-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Rayne Duff 9.7% 9.0% 9.6% 10.4% 10.2% 10.4% 11.2% 12.0% 8.2% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Joshua Dillon 4.7% 5.6% 6.2% 8.3% 8.3% 8.3% 8.6% 12.6% 14.5% 13.8% 7.6% 1.5% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 16.0% 13.1% 11.4% 13.3% 10.6% 11.0% 10.6% 6.4% 5.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Katherine McNamara 9.4% 10.6% 11.0% 11.8% 11.2% 11.3% 9.4% 9.2% 8.4% 4.8% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Luke Zylinski 8.4% 9.2% 9.6% 8.2% 9.3% 10.3% 10.4% 11.2% 10.9% 8.2% 3.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Lucas Quinn 1.7% 1.7% 2.0% 2.6% 3.0% 3.2% 4.4% 5.6% 9.2% 18.5% 26.1% 22.0% 0.0%
Brendan Strein 1.6% 1.9% 1.7% 1.3% 2.5% 2.9% 3.0% 4.4% 7.1% 15.3% 25.7% 32.6% 0.0%
Tyler Nash 11.8% 13.1% 11.2% 11.0% 11.3% 9.2% 9.5% 8.5% 8.8% 4.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Oliver Stokke 15.6% 16.6% 14.0% 12.3% 11.6% 8.8% 9.9% 5.2% 4.1% 1.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Caden Scheiblauer 10.8% 11.7% 12.8% 10.7% 10.5% 11.4% 10.8% 8.8% 6.6% 4.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Lucas Quinn 1.7% 1.7% 2.0% 2.6% 3.0% 3.2% 4.4% 5.6% 9.2% 18.5% 26.1% 22.0% 0.0%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.5% 1.0% 1.6% 1.1% 1.5% 2.0% 2.0% 4.6% 6.0% 13.9% 23.6% 41.2% 0.0%
Jack Flores 8.8% 6.5% 8.9% 9.0% 10.0% 11.2% 10.2% 11.5% 11.2% 7.5% 4.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.